Archive for March, 2011

Mr. Squires, I presume?

Wednesday, March 16th, 2011

By Sid Fernando

Jim Squires, an eminent but controversial author and a breeder of  a Kentucky Derby winner, published a piece in the New York Times today that took an uneducated swipe at nicks. You can read it here.

Mr. Squires is well known for taking on issues in the business and is entitled to his views, of course, but it’s unfortunate he didn’t research the concept of nicking—which has been around since racehorses were bred—before slamming it in front of millions of readers.

“Seth Hancock once told me that you can proceed at your own risk if you ignore nicks,” said major breeder John Greathouse to me at the Fasig-Tipton February sale. And this is why we furnish John—and many of the major owners and breeders in the country—with nicks for sales and matings.

Nicks, however, are only one piece of the puzzle. I would suggest that Mr. Squires read the post below, published here on February 16, 2009. It’s yet another plea by the late Jack Werk, who did more than anyone to develop and promote the widespread use of nicks through the Werk Nick Rating, to use common sense when evaluating nicks. They are only a tool, he’d tell clients over and over again, just as speed figures are—only a tool and one piece of the puzzle to a handicapper.

Indeed, here at WTC Inc., we will frequently suggest matings and select “Best of Sales” for horses that have a range of nicks, from C to A+++, based on other factors in the pedigree, including the dam’s production record, her female family’s affinity with sires, and the depth of the family, among many other considerations.

Planning matings is really not as simplistic—and breeders are not as stupid—as Mr. Squires makes them out to be.

Below is Jack’s article:

February 16th, 2009

Our Nicks and Your Common Sense!

By Jack Werk

Every year around the start of the breeding season, I make a mental note to remind breeders who call in that the Werk nick rating — as important a tool as it is — is just one piece of information in breeding decisions. Now, with this blog going at full steam, I can actually get it off my chest in one shot. Here’s my annual advice about using nicks: Use common sense, folks!

One of my favorite examples to demonstrate this is the Storm Cat/Rahy nick, which is an A+ Werk nick rating. There have been 12 unrestricted SWs on this cross, including 7 Graded SWs. Storm Cat’s best son, the G1-winning Coolmore stallion Giant’s Causeway, is bred on this nick, as are G1 winners Sophisticat and After Market.

The success of this nick meant that a lot of Rahy mares started going to sons of Storm Cat, too. Now, here’s where the common sense comes into play. Everyone knows that Rahy is a small stallion and tends to get smallish horses, too.

Now, let’s take the Storm Cat stallion Storm Boot (now deceased), who was also a small horse, as an example. The Storm Boot/Rahy cross is an A Werk nick rating, but the physical match between the stallion and the mare would have to be a major consideration, certainly for the commercial market that demands big yearlings. I would not advocate breeding a small mare by Rahy to a smallish stallion like Storm Boot, even though our rating, based on the performances described above, is sound. A larger mare, sure!

The bottom line here is that we stand behind our nicks – we’ve been doing this for 20 years – but YOU stand next to your mare, and as a breeder you need to use our tools with your good sense. That’s the only way we can help you increase your probability of producing a better racehorse!

Awesome Dude!

Wednesday, March 9th, 2011

By Elaine Belval

Game on Dude won a controversial running of the 2011 Santa Anita Handicap (G1) this past weekend, agreed. Now, you can say what you want about the race itself (and Ray Paulick has an excellent editorial on the subject on his blog, the Paulick Report), but it would be tough to argue that Game on Dude’s sire, Awesome Again, is not one of the best sires standing in the US.

Awesome Again is a product of the powerful Stronach Stable, a perennial Eclipse Award winner as breeder. He was bred in Ontario and earned victories in the Canadian classic, the Queen’s Plate, before winning one of the best Breeders’ Cup Classics, in 1998. With nine victories in 12 starts (including seven stakes), Awesome Again retired to stud with a $50,000 stud fee and high expectations.

Awesome Again had his first runners in 2002, and he quickly got off the mark with the super impressive 2-year-old Toccet (winner of the G1 Champagne S. and Hollywood Futurity). Awesome of Course (better known as the sire of 2010 Champion 2-year-0ld filly Awesome Feather) also earned black type as a 2-year-old, with a victory in the Inaugural S. at Tampa Bay.

That first crop had eight stakes winners in it. Of course, his best known turned out to be Horse of the Year Ghostzapper, whose G1 victories included the Breeders’ Cup Classic and Met Mile.

Awesome Again hasn’t slowed down since. Perhaps his best year was 2004, when Ghostzapper won the Breeders’ Cup Classic and Wilko shocked everyone by winning the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.  And, if that wasn’t enough, Awesome Again has had two winners of the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (Ginger Punch and Round Pond), and with four winners of Breeders’ Cup races, he leads all other active stallions in this category.

What Awesome Again does better than most in the US is sire quality. He has 24 GSWs among his 42 lifetime SWs (including 11 G1 winners). Fully 7.5% of his lifetime winners are GSWs. And his average earnings per starter is a whopping $100,000 (only two currently active stallions top that!).

Awesome Again sires a modest 10% two-year-old winners. His best runners improve with age and continue to win stakes races at five, six and seven, which is not common for most sires. They also stay 10 furlongs when given the opportunity, as Game on Dude did in the Big ‘Cap and Ghostzapper and others have shown.

Game on Dude is owned by the Lanni Family Trust, Mercedes Stable, & B C Schiappa; he was bred by Adena Springs, and he is trained by Bob Baffert, a fan of the sire. Indeed, the future looks bright for this 4-year-old, whose next start may be in the 10-furlong Dubai World Cup.

Awesome Again stands at Adena Springs Farm in Kentucky and his 2011 fee is $50,000.

(Elaine Belval is senior pedigree analyst at WTC.)

About

Headshot of Jack WerkJack Werk (1944-2010)
Jack founded Werk Thoroughbred Consultants, Inc. From 1987 to 2000, he published OWNER-BREEDER, the highly acclaimed, first-ever journal dedicated to thoroughbred pedigree analysis, theories and trends. After a six-year hiatus from writing, he returned with this blog Who's Hot, Who's Not.

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